Renofa Yamaguchi vs Ehime FC: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ishin Me-Life Stadium, Yamaguchi
The Footlab model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Ehime FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Renofa Yamaguchi vs Ehime FC?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Renofa Yamaguchi (1,717) and Ehime FC (1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Renofa Yamaguchi have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Ehime FC have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 1-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kagoshima United(away) | 1-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Yokohama FC(away) | 1-2 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(away) | 2-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pacific University(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(home) | 4-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nara Club(home) | 4-1 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Renofa Yamaguchi win(s), 5 draw(s), 1 Ehime FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2025 | Ehime FC 2-0 Renofa Yamaguchi | J2 League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Renofa Yamaguchi 1-1 Ehime FC | J2 League |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Ehime FC 1-1 Renofa Yamaguchi | J2 League |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Renofa Yamaguchi 1-1 Ehime FC | J2 League |
| Dec 5, 2021 | Ehime FC 1-1 Renofa Yamaguchi | J2 League |
| Jun 5, 2021 | Renofa Yamaguchi 2-2 Ehime FC | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Ehime FC vs Renofa Yamaguchi on Jun 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ehime FC score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renofa Yamaguchi | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Ehime FC | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Renofa Yamaguchi sit 13th in J3 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Ehime FC sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ehime FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| 13 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Ehime FC?
- The Footlab model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Ehime FC.
- Where and when is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Ehime FC played?
- Renofa Yamaguchi vs Ehime FC is played on May 23, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- May 23, 2027KanazawavsSagamihara
- May 23, 2027Matsumoto YamagavsFukushima United
- May 23, 2027Roasso KumamotovsBiwako Shiga
- May 23, 2027Kamatamare SanukivsParceiro Nagano
- May 23, 2027Thespakusatsu GunmavsKagoshima United
- May 23, 2027KitakyushuvsFC Ryukyu
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