Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown: prediction and stats
AFC Champions League TwoGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on November 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Mong Kok Stadium, Hong Kong
The Footlab AI model makes Phnom Penh Crown the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Kitchee. The most likely score is 1-1. If Phnom Penh Crown wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,883 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown?
Phnom Penh Crown starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,778 vs 1,671).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kitchee
4-1-4-1- 9Revilla
- 18Everton Camargo
- 21Koldo Obieta
- 15Camarasa
- 16Tan Chun Lok Mark
- 7R. Mingazow
- 3Roger Riera
- 14Kam Chi Kin Jason
- 22C. Beattie
- 6Jay Haddow
- 17Pong Cheuk Hei
Phnom Penh Crown
5-4-1- 10M. Dyer
- 14V. Gryshyn
- 45C. Timmins
- 7G. Mijland
- 20Pich Koeut
- 5R. Feher
- 4R. Ketting
- 2R. Matsuda
- 15Choun Chanchav
- 32E. Ratana
- 22Oum Vicheth
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 10:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kitchee have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Phnom Penh Crown have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Phnom Penh Crown(away) | 0-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(away) | 2-4 | Senior Shield |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Warriors(away) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Kuching FA(away) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Kitchee(home) | 2-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | National Defense(away) | 2-1 | C-League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Life Sihanoukville(home) | 1-1 | C-League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Gangwon FC(away) | 2-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Kuching FA(home) | 2-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Kitchee wins, 0 draws, 1 Phnom Penh Crown win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Phnom Penh Crown 2-0 Kitchee | AFC Champions League Two |
Last archived meeting: Phnom Penh Crown vs Kitchee on Oct 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kitchee score 2.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Phnom Penh Crown score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kitchee | 2.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Phnom Penh Crown | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kitchee sit 3rd in AFC Champions League Two (2 points from 3 matches) and Phnom Penh Crown sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phnom Penh Crown | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Kitchee | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
A question about Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown?
- The Footlab AI model makes Phnom Penh Crown the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Kitchee.
- Where and when is Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown played?
- Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown is played on November 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Mong Kok Stadium, in the AFC Champions League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.