Match

Kitchee vs Southern District: prediction and stats

FA CupRound of 16Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 07:00 AM (UTC)Mong Kok Stadium, Hong Kong

KitcheeSouthern District

The Footlab AI model makes Kitchee the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Southern District. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kitchee wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kitchee vs Southern District?

Kitchee starts as the favourite with a 229-point Elo edge (1,665 vs 1,436).

56%25%19%
Kitchee winDrawSouthern District win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Kitchee vs Southern District

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Kitchee

4-3-3
  1. 21Koldo Obieta
  2. 30Walter
  3. 42Yiu-Hin Cheung
  1. 9Revilla
  2. 7R. Mingazow
  3. 5Illarramendi
  1. 3Roger Riera
  2. 22C. Beattie
  3. 14Kam Chi Kin Jason
  4. 2Marcao
  1. 17Pong Cheuk Hei

Southern District

4-3-3
  1. 12Kak Yi Lai
  2. 22S. Golubović
  3. 9Poon Pui Hin
  1. 11S. Sasaki
  2. 99Cheng Tsz-Sum
  3. 10Wong Ho Chun Anson
  1. 2C. Hall
  2. 3Fabio Erins
  3. 16Chak Ting Fung
  4. 4K. Kawase
  1. 1Ng Wai Him

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:39 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kitchee have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Southern District have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kitchee
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Hong Kong FC(home)4-0Premier League
Sep 26, 2026Eastern(away)1-3League Cup
Sep 17, 2026Gangwon FC(home)0-0AFC Champions League Two
Sep 12, 2026Southern District(away)3-1Premier League
Sep 6, 2026Eastern District(home)4-1Premier League
Southern District
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Eastern District(home)3-0Premier League
Oct 1, 2026North District(away)1-2League Cup
Sep 20, 2026Eastern District(home)2-1Senior Shield
Sep 12, 2026Kitchee(home)1-3Premier League
Aug 29, 2026Kowloon City(home)2-1Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kitchee wins, 2 draws, 0 Southern District wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 12, 2026Southern District 1-3 KitcheePremier League
Jan 31, 2026Kitchee 3-0 Southern DistrictPremier League
Nov 26, 2025Southern District 2-4 KitcheePremier League
Mar 29, 2025Southern District 1-3 KitcheePremier League
Jan 11, 2025Southern District 1-1 KitcheePremier League
Sep 14, 2024Kitchee 1-1 Southern DistrictPremier League

Last archived meeting: Southern District vs Kitchee on Sep 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kitchee score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Southern District score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kitchee2.11.559/1512/15
Southern District1.91.5113/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Kitchee vs Southern District?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kitchee vs Southern District?
The Footlab AI model makes Kitchee the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Southern District.
Where and when is Kitchee vs Southern District played?
Kitchee vs Southern District is played on January 24, 2027 at 07:00 AM (UTC) at Mong Kok Stadium, in the FA Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Kitchee and Southern District

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