Kiyovu Sports vs Rayon Sports: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Mumena, Kigali
The Footlab model makes Rayon Sports the favourite at 35%, against 33% for a draw and 31% for Kiyovu Sports. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kiyovu Sports vs Rayon Sports?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Kiyovu Sports (1,749) and Rayon Sports (1,842).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kiyovu Sports have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Rayon Sports have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | Rayon Sports(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 24, 2026 | Police(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Muhanga(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 10, 2026 | Al Merreikh(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 5, 2026 | Amagaju(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | GOR Mahia(home) | 2-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Jamus(away) | 3-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(away) | 1-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Tusker(away) | 1-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | KVZ(home) | 2-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kiyovu Sports win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Rayon Sports win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | Rayon Sports 1-1 Kiyovu Sports | National Soccer League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Kiyovu Sports 0-2 Rayon Sports | National Soccer League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Kiyovu Sports 1-2 Rayon Sports | National Soccer League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Rayon Sports 4-0 Kiyovu Sports | National Soccer League |
| May 11, 2024 | Kiyovu Sports 1-0 Rayon Sports | National Soccer League |
| Dec 12, 2023 | Rayon Sports 1-1 Kiyovu Sports | National Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Rayon Sports vs Kiyovu Sports on May 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kiyovu Sports score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Rayon Sports score 1.4 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiyovu Sports | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Rayon Sports | 1.4 | 0.5 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kiyovu Sports sit 5th in National Soccer League (53 points from 34 matches) and Rayon Sports sit 4th (56 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rayon Sports | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 40 | 30 | 56 |
| 5 | Kiyovu Sports | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 34 | 21 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kiyovu Sports vs Rayon Sports?
- The Footlab model makes Rayon Sports the favourite at 35%, against 33% for a draw and 31% for Kiyovu Sports.
- Where and when is Kiyovu Sports vs Rayon Sports played?
- Kiyovu Sports vs Rayon Sports is played on November 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Mumena, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.