AS Kigali vs Sunrise: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Régional de Nyamirambo, Kigali
The Footlab AI model makes AS Kigali the favourite at 41%, against 33% for a draw and 26% for Sunrise. The most likely score is 0-0. If AS Kigali wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,141 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AS Kigali vs Sunrise?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate AS Kigali (1,591) and Sunrise (1,548).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AS Kigali vs Sunrise
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AS Kigali
Not enough data to predict the AS Kigali lineup.
Sunrise
Not enough data to predict the Sunrise lineup.
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 08:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS Kigali have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Sunrise have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Gicumbi(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(home) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Etoile de l'Est(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Marines(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 30, 2026 | Musanze(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Amagaju(away) | 0-4 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Gasogi United(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Police(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Rayon Sports(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Etincelles(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 AS Kigali win, 3 draws, 2 Sunrise wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2024 | Sunrise 0-2 AS Kigali | National Soccer League |
| Nov 5, 2023 | AS Kigali 0-1 Sunrise | National Soccer League |
| Feb 16, 2023 | AS Kigali 2-2 Sunrise | National Soccer League |
| Dec 21, 2022 | Sunrise 2-1 AS Kigali | National Soccer League |
| Dec 1, 2019 | AS Kigali 2-2 Sunrise | National Soccer League |
| Mar 27, 2019 | Sunrise 1-1 AS Kigali | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
AS Kigali score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sunrise score 0.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Kigali | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Sunrise | 0.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AS Kigali sit 12th in National Soccer League (4 points from 4 matches) and Sunrise sit 8th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Sunrise | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | AS Kigali | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
A question about AS Kigali vs Sunrise?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AS Kigali vs Sunrise?
- The Footlab AI model makes AS Kigali the favourite at 41%, against 33% for a draw and 26% for Sunrise.
- Where and when is AS Kigali vs Sunrise played?
- AS Kigali vs Sunrise is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Régional de Nyamirambo, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.