Klubi-04 vs JäPS: prediction and stats
YkkösliigaGroup StageKick-off on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Bolt Arena, Helsinki
The Footlab model makes Klubi-04 the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for JäPS. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Klubi-04 vs JäPS?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Klubi-04 (1,558) and JäPS (1,595).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Klubi-04 have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; JäPS have 5, 0 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | MP(home) | 4-3 | Ykkösliiga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | PK-35(away) | 1-1 | Ykkösliiga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kooteepee(home) | 0-1 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | EIF(away) | 0-2 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | JäPS(away) | 0-2 | Ykkösliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | PK-35(away) | 0-3 | Ykkösliiga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Haka(home) | 1-2 | Ykkösliiga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | MP(home) | 1-0 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | JIPPO(away) | 0-1 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Klubi-04(home) | 2-0 | Ykkösliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Klubi-04 win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 JäPS win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | JäPS 2-0 Klubi-04 | Ykkösliiga |
| Apr 10, 2026 | JäPS 1-0 Klubi-04 | Ykkösliiga |
| Feb 28, 2026 | JäPS 4-0 Klubi-04 | Ykköscup |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Klubi-04 2-1 JäPS | Ykkösliiga |
| Jun 13, 2025 | JäPS 2-0 Klubi-04 | Ykkösliiga |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Klubi-04 4-6 JäPS | Ykkösliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
Klubi-04 score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; JäPS score 0.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klubi-04 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
| JäPS | 0.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Klubi-04 sit 9th in Ykkösliiga (13 points from 19 matches) and JäPS sit 5th (28 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | JäPS | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 29 | 28 |
| 5 | JäPS | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 29 | 28 |
| 9 | Klubi-04 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 24 | 13 |
| 9 | Klubi-04 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 24 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Klubi-04 vs JäPS?
- The Footlab model makes Klubi-04 the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for JäPS.
- Where and when is Klubi-04 vs JäPS played?
- Klubi-04 vs JäPS is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Bolt Arena, in the Ykkösliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.