JäPS vs JIPPO: prediction and stats
YkkösliigaGroup StageKick-off on October 9, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Järvenpään keskuskenttä, Järvenpää
The Footlab model makes JIPPO the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for JäPS. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win JäPS vs JIPPO?
JIPPO starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,704 vs 1,595).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JäPS have 5 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats; JIPPO have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | PK-35(away) | 0-3 | Ykkösliiga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Haka(home) | 1-2 | Ykkösliiga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | MP(home) | 1-0 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | JIPPO(away) | 0-1 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Klubi-04(home) | 2-0 | Ykkösliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | KäPa(away) | 3-1 | Ykkösliiga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SJK Akatemia(home) | 0-1 | Ykkösliiga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Haka(away) | 0-3 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | JäPS(home) | 1-0 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | PK-35(away) | 1-1 | Ykkösliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 JäPS win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 JIPPO win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | JIPPO 1-0 JäPS | Ykkösliiga |
| Apr 6, 2026 | JIPPO 0-0 JäPS | Ykkösliiga |
| Jan 31, 2026 | JäPS 0-1 JIPPO | Ykköscup |
| Oct 18, 2025 | JäPS 1-1 JIPPO | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 8, 2025 | JIPPO 1-1 JäPS | Ykkösliiga |
| May 17, 2025 | JäPS 1-1 JIPPO | Ykkösliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
JäPS score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; JIPPO score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JäPS | 0.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| JIPPO | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
JäPS sit 5th in Ykkösliiga (28 points from 20 matches) and JIPPO sit 4th (34 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | JIPPO | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 34 |
| 4 | JIPPO | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 34 |
| 5 | JäPS | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 29 | 28 |
| 5 | JäPS | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 29 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for JäPS vs JIPPO?
- The Footlab model makes JIPPO the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for JäPS.
- Where and when is JäPS vs JIPPO played?
- JäPS vs JIPPO is played on October 9, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Järvenpään keskuskenttä, in the Ykkösliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.