Kokand-1912 vs Mash'al: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Markaziy Stadion, Kokand
The Footlab model makes Kokand-1912 the favourite at 57%, against 27% for a draw and 16% for Mash'al. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kokand-1912 vs Mash'al?
Kokand-1912 starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,602 vs 1,466).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kokand-1912 have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Mash'al have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Buxoro(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Bunyodkor(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nasaf(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Surkhon(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Andijan(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Qizilqum(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Xorazm(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sogdiana(home) | 1-3 | Super League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Olmaliq(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kokand-1912 win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Mash'al win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | Mash'al 1-0 Kokand-1912 | Super League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Mash'al 1-0 Kokand-1912 | Super League |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Kokand-1912 0-4 Mash'al | Super League |
| Oct 8, 2024 | Kokand-1912 1-1 Mash'al | Pro League A |
| Aug 9, 2024 | Mash'al 0-1 Kokand-1912 | Pro League A |
| May 16, 2024 | Kokand-1912 3-2 Mash'al | Pro League A |
Last archived meeting: Mash'al vs Kokand-1912 on Jul 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kokand-1912 score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mash'al score 0.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kokand-1912 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Mash'al | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kokand-1912 sit 14th in Super League (11 points from 11 matches) and Mash'al sit 16th (0 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kokand-1912 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 11 |
| 14 | Kokand-1912 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26 | 19 |
| 16 | Mash'al | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 | Mash'al | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 32 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kokand-1912 vs Mash'al?
- The Footlab model makes Kokand-1912 the favourite at 57%, against 27% for a draw and 16% for Mash'al.
- Where and when is Kokand-1912 vs Mash'al played?
- Kokand-1912 vs Mash'al is played on October 9, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Markaziy Stadion, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.