Pakhtakor vs Bunyodkor: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Paxtakor Markaziy Stadion, Tashkent
The Footlab AI model makes Pakhtakor the favourite at 83%, against 12% for a draw and 5% for Bunyodkor. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pakhtakor vs Bunyodkor?
Pakhtakor starts as the favourite with a 275-point Elo edge (1,887 vs 1,612).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pakhtakor vs Bunyodkor
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pakhtakor
4-2-3-1- 29Aymen Hussein
- 23Abdurauf Bo'riyev
- 21B. Resan
- 27S. Sobirkho'jaev
- 10A. Mozgovoy
- 50Flamarion
- 55M. Abdumajidov
- 7K. Alijonov
- 34S. Nasrullayev
- 4Zayed Tahseen
- 35S. Kuvvatov
Bunyodkor
3-4-2-1- 10A. Turakulov
- 21N. Abdusalomov
- 45S. Tursunmahammadov
- 14S. Nematjonov
- 88M. Annamatov
- 18N.Ahmadjonov
- 8D. Pletnev
- 13M. Khakimov
- 3S. Rakhmanov
- 27I. Anvarov
- 1A. Abdujalilov
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pakhtakor have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeat; Bunyodkor have 3, 0 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mash'al(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Olmaliq(away) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Andijan(home) | 3-0 | Super League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Neftchi(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Buxoro(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Nasaf(away) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Surkhon(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Lokomotiv(away) | 1-4 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Pakhtakor wins, 1 draw, 1 Bunyodkor win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bunyodkor 0-1 Pakhtakor | Super League |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Pakhtakor 4-2 Bunyodkor | Super League |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Bunyodkor 1-1 Pakhtakor | Super League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Bunyodkor 2-0 Pakhtakor | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2024 | Bunyodkor 0-1 Pakhtakor | Cup |
| Jun 27, 2024 | Pakhtakor 1-0 Bunyodkor | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Bunyodkor vs Pakhtakor on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pakhtakor score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bunyodkor score 1.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pakhtakor | 1.5 | 0.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Bunyodkor | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pakhtakor sit 2nd in Super League (49 points from 22 matches) and Bunyodkor sit 13th (22 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 39 | 20 | 49 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 22 | 36 | 22 |
A question about Pakhtakor vs Bunyodkor?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pakhtakor vs Bunyodkor?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pakhtakor the favourite at 83%, against 12% for a draw and 5% for Bunyodkor.
- Where and when is Pakhtakor vs Bunyodkor played?
- Pakhtakor vs Bunyodkor is played on October 9, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Paxtakor Markaziy Stadion, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.