Sogdiana vs Lokomotiv: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)So'g'diyona Sport Majmuasi, Jizzax
The Footlab model makes Sogdiana the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Lokomotiv. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sogdiana vs Lokomotiv?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Sogdiana (1,663) and Lokomotiv (1,666).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sogdiana have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Lokomotiv have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Neftchi(away) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Qizilqum(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Surkhon(away) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Andijan(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Mash'al(away) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Xorazm(away) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kokand-1912(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Dinamo Samarqand(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Buxoro(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Sogdiana(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sogdiana win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Lokomotiv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2026 | Lokomotiv 3-1 Sogdiana | Super League |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Sogdiana 2-0 Lokomotiv | Super League |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Lokomotiv 1-2 Sogdiana | Super League |
| Nov 7, 2022 | Sogdiana 2-2 Lokomotiv | Super League |
| Jun 17, 2022 | Lokomotiv 0-1 Sogdiana | Super League |
| Nov 5, 2021 | Lokomotiv 1-0 Sogdiana | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotiv vs Sogdiana on Jul 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sogdiana score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotiv score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sogdiana | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Lokomotiv | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sogdiana sit 15th in Super League (9 points from 11 matches) and Lokomotiv sit 6th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lokomotiv | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 17 |
| 6 | Lokomotiv | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 28 |
| 10 | Sogdiana | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 39 | 24 |
| 15 | Sogdiana | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sogdiana vs Lokomotiv?
- The Footlab model makes Sogdiana the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Lokomotiv.
- Where and when is Sogdiana vs Lokomotiv played?
- Sogdiana vs Lokomotiv is played on October 9, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at So'g'diyona Sport Majmuasi, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.