Kokand-1912 vs Qizilqum: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Markaziy Stadion, Kokand
The Footlab model makes Kokand-1912 the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Qizilqum. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kokand-1912 vs Qizilqum?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Kokand-1912 (1,602) and Qizilqum (1,580).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kokand-1912 have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Qizilqum have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Buxoro(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Bunyodkor(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nasaf(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Surkhon(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Sogdiana(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mash'al(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Neftchi(away) | 0-5 | Super League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Nasaf(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Navbahor(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kokand-1912 win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Qizilqum win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Qizilqum 2-1 Kokand-1912 | Super League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Kokand-1912 2-1 Qizilqum | Super League |
| May 21, 2025 | Kokand-1912 2-1 Qizilqum | Cup |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Qizilqum 1-0 Kokand-1912 | Super League |
| Dec 5, 2023 | Kokand-1912 1-2 Qizilqum | Super League |
| Nov 2, 2022 | Qizilqum 1-1 Kokand-1912 | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Qizilqum vs Kokand-1912 on Apr 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kokand-1912 score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Qizilqum score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kokand-1912 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Qizilqum | 0.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kokand-1912 sit 14th in Super League (11 points from 11 matches) and Qizilqum sit 11th (13 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Qizilqum | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 13 |
| 11 | Qizilqum | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 26 | 20 |
| 14 | Kokand-1912 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 11 |
| 14 | Kokand-1912 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kokand-1912 vs Qizilqum?
- The Footlab model makes Kokand-1912 the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Qizilqum.
- Where and when is Kokand-1912 vs Qizilqum played?
- Kokand-1912 vs Qizilqum is played on October 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Markaziy Stadion, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.