Xorazm vs Pakhtakor: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Xorazm, Urgench
The Footlab AI model makes Pakhtakor the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Xorazm. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Xorazm vs Pakhtakor?
Pakhtakor is a heavy favourite: 1,880 Elo points against 1,546, a 334-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Xorazm vs Pakhtakor
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Xorazm
4-3-3- 15A. Pirmukhamedov
- 9S. Azimov
- 21Rafael Tavares
- 96Rafael Sabino
- 94R. Abdukhamidov
- 13Elzio Lohan Alves Lucio
- 22S. Hamidjonov
- 5A. Otakhonov
- 25M. Rom
- 12M. Shiryaev
- 77U. Ergashev
Pakhtakor
4-2-3-1- 29Aymen Hussein
- 21B. Resan
- 7K. Alijonov
- 50Flamarion
- 27S. Sobirkho'jaev
- 23Abdurauf Bo'riyev
- 55M. Abdumajidov
- 4Zayed Tahseen
- 34S. Nasrullayev
- 5M. Pouraliganji
- 35S. Kuvvatov
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Xorazm have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Pakhtakor have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Neftchi(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Qizilqum(home) | 1-3 | Super League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Olmaliq(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sogdiana(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Olmaliq(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(home) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Bunyodkor(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mash'al(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Olmaliq(away) | 3-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Xorazm wins, 0 draws, 3 Pakhtakor wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | Pakhtakor 2-1 Xorazm | Super League |
| Oct 23, 2025 | Xorazm 0-1 Pakhtakor | Super League |
| May 25, 2025 | Pakhtakor 2-1 Xorazm | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Xorazm score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pakhtakor score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xorazm | 0.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Pakhtakor | 1.6 | 0.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Xorazm sit 15th in Super League (22 points from 23 matches) and Pakhtakor sit 1st (52 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 42 | 21 | 52 |
| 15 | Xorazm | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 34 | 22 |
A question about Xorazm vs Pakhtakor?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Xorazm vs Pakhtakor?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pakhtakor the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Xorazm.
- Where and when is Xorazm vs Pakhtakor played?
- Xorazm vs Pakhtakor is played on October 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Xorazm, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.