Qizilqum vs Pakhtakor: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi, Navoiy
The Footlab AI model makes Pakhtakor the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Qizilqum. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pakhtakor wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,888 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Qizilqum vs Pakhtakor?
Pakhtakor starts as the favourite with a 218-point Elo edge (1,812 vs 1,594).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Qizilqum vs Pakhtakor
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Qizilqum
4-3-3- 88Otabek Jo‘raqo‘ziev
- 10I. Kenzhaboev
- 47Ruslan Roziyev
- 8S. Rahmatullayev
- 31J. Jighauri
- 9S. Turopov
- 15N. Kumburović
- 40N. Nematkhonov
- 44G. Rizakulov
- 7F. Jumankuziev
- 1F. Rahmatov
Pakhtakor
4-2-3-1- 29Aymen Hussein
- 50Flamarion
- 27S. Sobirkho'jaev
- 23Abdurauf Bo'riyev
- 21B. Resan
- 10A. Mozgovoy
- 55M. Abdumajidov
- 8D. Saitov
- 4Zayed Tahseen
- 34S. Nasrullayev
- 35S. Kuvvatov
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 01:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qizilqum have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Pakhtakor have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Andijan(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Surkhon(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Xorazm(away) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Dinamo Samarqand(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(away) | 0-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Neftchi(home) | 1-3 | Super League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Navbahor(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(home) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Bunyodkor(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Qizilqum win, 1 draw, 4 Pakhtakor wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Pakhtakor 2-0 Qizilqum | Super League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Pakhtakor 3-0 Qizilqum | Super League |
| May 18, 2025 | Qizilqum 0-3 Pakhtakor | Super League |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Qizilqum 2-0 Pakhtakor | Super League |
| May 25, 2024 | Pakhtakor 1-1 Qizilqum | Super League |
| Aug 29, 2023 | Qizilqum 2-3 Pakhtakor | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Pakhtakor vs Qizilqum on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Qizilqum score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pakhtakor score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qizilqum | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Pakhtakor | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qizilqum sit 8th in Super League (34 points from 25 matches) and Pakhtakor sit 2nd (53 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 44 | 25 | 53 |
| 8 | Qizilqum | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 34 |
A question about Qizilqum vs Pakhtakor?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Qizilqum vs Pakhtakor?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pakhtakor the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Qizilqum.
- Where and when is Qizilqum vs Pakhtakor played?
- Qizilqum vs Pakhtakor is played on November 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.