Koninklijke HFC vs Hoek: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Groenendaal, Heemstede
The Footlab model makes Hoek the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Koninklijke HFC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Koninklijke HFC vs Hoek?
Hoek starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (1,945 vs 1,765).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Koninklijke HFC have 5 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats; Hoek have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barendrecht(home) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hoek(away) | 1-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ADO '20(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Spakenburg(home) | 3-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | ACV(away) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Katwijk(away) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(home) | 3-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Jul 15, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | De Treffers(away) | 2-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Rijnsburgse Boys(home) | 2-0 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Koninklijke HFC win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Hoek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hoek 3-1 Koninklijke HFC | Tweede Divisie |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC 2-1 Hoek | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Hoek 2-0 Koninklijke HFC | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Hoek vs Koninklijke HFC on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Koninklijke HFC score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Hoek score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koninklijke HFC | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Hoek | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Koninklijke HFC sit 15th in Tweede Divisie (0 points from 2 matches) and Hoek sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hoek | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 15 | Koninklijke HFC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Koninklijke HFC vs Hoek?
- The Footlab model makes Hoek the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Koninklijke HFC.
- Where and when is Koninklijke HFC vs Hoek played?
- Koninklijke HFC vs Hoek is played on January 9, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Groenendaal, in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.