Koninklijke HFC vs Hoek: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Groenendaal, Heemstede
The Footlab AI model makes Koninklijke HFC the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Hoek. The most likely score is 1-1. If Koninklijke HFC wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,047 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Koninklijke HFC vs Hoek?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Koninklijke HFC (1,818) and Hoek (1,916).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Koninklijke HFC vs Hoek
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Koninklijke HFC
5-4-1- 12L. Klaasen
- 8M. Fichtinger
- 7F. Klomp
- 20T. de Boer
- 10D. Ladan
- 14J. Kranthove
- 2M. Ploem
- 3R. Heeremans
- 77A. Morgan
- 4J. van der Weijden
- 21K. Bucker
Hoek
4-4-2- 10N. Aelterman
- 7K. Hebbelinck
- 14R. Van Hauter
- 24G. Siereveld
- 8S. Brebels
- 18H. Bouihrouchane
- 2R. De Poorter
- 5Y. de Nooijer
- 4L. Ketels
- 21G. Martens
- 1M. Standaert
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 05:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Koninklijke HFC have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hoek have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kloetinge(home) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(away) | 0-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Quick Boys(home) | 2-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kozakken Boys(away) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Dovo(home) | 3-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kozakken Boys(home) | 0-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AFC Amsterdam(away) | 0-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | De Treffers(home) | 3-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam II(away) | 0-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Almere City II(home) | 2-2 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Koninklijke HFC win, 0 draws, 2 Hoek wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hoek 3-1 Koninklijke HFC | Tweede Divisie |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC 2-1 Hoek | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Hoek 2-0 Koninklijke HFC | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Hoek vs Koninklijke HFC on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Koninklijke HFC score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Hoek score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koninklijke HFC | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Hoek | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Koninklijke HFC sit 16th in Tweede Divisie (9 points from 10 matches) and Hoek sit 15th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hoek | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 10 |
| 16 | Koninklijke HFC | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 9 |
A question about Koninklijke HFC vs Hoek?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Koninklijke HFC vs Hoek?
- The Footlab AI model makes Koninklijke HFC the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Hoek.
- Where and when is Koninklijke HFC vs Hoek played?
- Koninklijke HFC vs Hoek is played on January 9, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Groenendaal, in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.