Katwijk vs Spakenburg: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark de Krom, Katwijk
The Footlab model makes Katwijk the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Spakenburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Katwijk vs Spakenburg?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Katwijk (1,890) and Spakenburg (1,923).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Katwijk have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Spakenburg have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hoek(home) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spakenburg(away) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam II(home) | 4-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Spakenburg(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(home) | 4-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | RKAV Volendam(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Katwijk(home) | 1-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(away) | 2-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Katwijk(home) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | De Treffers(away) | 0-0 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Katwijk win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Spakenburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spakenburg 1-0 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Spakenburg 2-1 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Katwijk 2-2 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Katwijk 2-1 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Spakenburg 2-4 Katwijk | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Spakenburg 0-0 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Spakenburg vs Katwijk on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Katwijk score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Spakenburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katwijk | 2.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Spakenburg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Katwijk sit 14th in Tweede Divisie (1 points from 2 matches) and Spakenburg sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spakenburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | Katwijk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Katwijk vs Spakenburg?
- The Footlab model makes Katwijk the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Spakenburg.
- Where and when is Katwijk vs Spakenburg played?
- Katwijk vs Spakenburg is played on January 9, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark de Krom, in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.