Katwijk vs Spakenburg: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark de Krom, Katwijk
The Footlab AI model makes Katwijk the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Spakenburg. The most likely score is 1-1. If Katwijk wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,974 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Katwijk vs Spakenburg?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Katwijk (1,885) and Spakenburg (1,944).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Katwijk vs Spakenburg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Katwijk
4-3-3- 10M. Suleiman
- 24Ilyas el Moussaoui
- 9M. van Duinen
- 22M. Brenna
- 20O. van der Meer
- 17G. Tiebosch
- 16D. van Wageningen
- 25C. Touré
- 5D. Warmerdam
- 4Dalian Maatsen
- 41S. van Bladeren
Spakenburg
4-3-3- 9M. van der Weijden
- 14S. Hage
- 7A. El Azzouti
- 34S. Lever
- 15H. van Lopik
- 8S. van Huffel
- 5D. Green
- 16O. Kok
- 18T. Linthorst
- 44J. Guiting
- 1S. Damkalis
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 03:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Katwijk have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Spakenburg have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(home) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Quick Boys(away) | 0-6 | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Kozakken Boys(home) | 1-5 | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AFC Amsterdam(away) | 1-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | De Treffers(home) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Quick Boys(home) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kozakken Boys(away) | 0-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | AFC Amsterdam(home) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | De Treffers(away) | 0-5 | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | RKAV Volendam(away) | 2-2 | KNVB Beker |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Katwijk wins, 2 draws, 2 Spakenburg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spakenburg 1-0 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Spakenburg 2-1 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Katwijk 2-2 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Katwijk 2-1 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Spakenburg 2-4 Katwijk | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Spakenburg 0-0 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Spakenburg vs Katwijk on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Katwijk score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Spakenburg score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katwijk | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Spakenburg | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Katwijk sit 13th in Tweede Divisie (11 points from 10 matches) and Spakenburg sit 9th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spakenburg | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 14 |
| 13 | Katwijk | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 11 |
A question about Katwijk vs Spakenburg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Katwijk vs Spakenburg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Katwijk the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Spakenburg.
- Where and when is Katwijk vs Spakenburg played?
- Katwijk vs Spakenburg is played on January 9, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark de Krom, in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.