Koninklijke HFC vs Sparta Rotterdam II: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Groenendaal, Heemstede
The Footlab model makes Sparta Rotterdam II the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Koninklijke HFC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Koninklijke HFC vs Sparta Rotterdam II?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Koninklijke HFC (1,745) and Sparta Rotterdam II (1,841).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Koninklijke HFC have 5 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats; Sparta Rotterdam II have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barendrecht(home) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hoek(away) | 1-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ADO '20(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Spakenburg(home) | 3-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | ACV(away) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rijnsburgse Boys(away) | 6-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ROHDA Raalte(home) | 6-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Groningen U21(home) | 3-2 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Koninklijke HFC win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Sparta Rotterdam II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam II 4-1 Koninklijke HFC | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Koninklijke HFC 2-1 Sparta Rotterdam II | Tweede Divisie |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Koninklijke HFC 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam II | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam II 3-1 Koninklijke HFC | Tweede Divisie |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Koninklijke HFC 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam II | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Sparta Rotterdam II 4-1 Koninklijke HFC | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Rotterdam II vs Koninklijke HFC on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Koninklijke HFC score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Rotterdam II score 2.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koninklijke HFC | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Sparta Rotterdam II | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Koninklijke HFC sit 15th in Tweede Divisie (0 points from 2 matches) and Sparta Rotterdam II sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Rotterdam II | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 6 |
| 15 | Koninklijke HFC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Koninklijke HFC vs Sparta Rotterdam II?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Rotterdam II the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Koninklijke HFC.
- Where and when is Koninklijke HFC vs Sparta Rotterdam II played?
- Koninklijke HFC vs Sparta Rotterdam II is played on September 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Groenendaal, in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.