Spakenburg vs Barendrecht: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Westmaat (Spakenburg), Bunschoten
The Footlab model makes Spakenburg the favourite at 62%, against 18% for a draw and 20% for Barendrecht. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spakenburg vs Barendrecht?
Spakenburg starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,936 vs 1,828).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spakenburg have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Barendrecht have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | RKAV Volendam(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Katwijk(home) | 1-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(away) | 2-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Katwijk(home) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | De Treffers(away) | 0-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(away) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | HHC(home) | 1-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | RKAV Volendam(away) | 2-5 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Hoek(home) | 4-2 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Spakenburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Barendrecht win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Barendrecht 0-3 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Spakenburg 8-0 Barendrecht | Tweede Divisie |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Barendrecht 2-2 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Spakenburg 4-1 Barendrecht | Tweede Divisie |
| Jan 26, 2019 | Barendrecht 0-3 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 25, 2018 | Spakenburg 1-0 Barendrecht | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Barendrecht vs Spakenburg on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spakenburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Barendrecht score 1.9 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spakenburg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Barendrecht | 1.9 | 2.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spakenburg sit 9th in Tweede Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Barendrecht sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spakenburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Barendrecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spakenburg vs Barendrecht?
- The Footlab model makes Spakenburg the favourite at 62%, against 18% for a draw and 20% for Barendrecht.
- Where and when is Spakenburg vs Barendrecht played?
- Spakenburg vs Barendrecht is played on September 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Westmaat (Spakenburg), in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.