RKAV Volendam vs Hoek: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Hein Koning Voetbalstadion, Volendam
The Footlab model makes Hoek the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for RKAV Volendam. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win RKAV Volendam vs Hoek?
Hoek starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,959 vs 1,818).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RKAV Volendam have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Hoek have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spakenburg(home) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Quick Boys(away) | 0-5 | Tweede Divisie |
| Jul 5, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Rijnsburgse Boys(away) | 0-7 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Barendrecht(home) | 5-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Katwijk(away) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(home) | 3-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Jul 15, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | De Treffers(away) | 2-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Rijnsburgse Boys(home) | 2-0 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 RKAV Volendam win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Hoek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Hoek 1-0 RKAV Volendam | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2025 | RKAV Volendam 2-1 Hoek | Tweede Divisie |
| May 6, 2023 | Hoek 3-2 RKAV Volendam | Derde Divisie |
| Nov 12, 2022 | RKAV Volendam 0-1 Hoek | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Hoek vs RKAV Volendam on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
RKAV Volendam score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hoek score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RKAV Volendam | 1.4 | 2.0 | 3 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Hoek | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
RKAV Volendam sit 12th in Tweede Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Hoek sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hoek | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | RKAV Volendam | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for RKAV Volendam vs Hoek?
- The Footlab model makes Hoek the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for RKAV Volendam.
- Where and when is RKAV Volendam vs Hoek played?
- RKAV Volendam vs Hoek is played on September 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Hein Koning Voetbalstadion, in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.