Katwijk vs Almere City II: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark de Krom, Katwijk
The Footlab model makes Katwijk the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Almere City II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Katwijk vs Almere City II?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Katwijk (1,903) and Almere City II (1,922).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Katwijk have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Almere City II have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hoek(home) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spakenburg(away) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam II(home) | 4-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Spakenburg(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(home) | 4-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | HHC(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rijnsburgse Boys(home) | 4-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | GVVV Veenendaal(home) | 5-4 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 1-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | RKAV Volendam(home) | 3-2 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Katwijk win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Almere City II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Katwijk 3-0 Almere City II | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Almere City II 3-0 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Katwijk 0-4 Almere City II | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Almere City II 1-2 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Katwijk 1-3 Almere City II | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 29, 2023 | Almere City II 0-1 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Katwijk vs Almere City II on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Katwijk score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Almere City II score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katwijk | 2.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Almere City II | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Katwijk sit 14th in Tweede Divisie (1 points from 2 matches) and Almere City II sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Almere City II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | Katwijk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Katwijk vs Almere City II?
- The Footlab model makes Katwijk the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Almere City II.
- Where and when is Katwijk vs Almere City II played?
- Katwijk vs Almere City II is played on September 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark de Krom, in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.