Kooteepee vs Haka: prediction and stats
YkkösliigaGroup StageKick-off on August 28, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Arto Tolsa Areena, Kotka
The Footlab model makes Haka the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Kooteepee. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kooteepee vs Haka?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Kooteepee (1,711) and Haka (1,739).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kooteepee have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Haka have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | EIF(away) | 1-0 | Ykkösliiga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | KäPa(home) | 2-1 | Ykkösliiga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Klubi-04(away) | 1-0 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SJK Akatemia(home) | 2-1 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | MP(away) | 3-3 | Ykkösliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SJK Akatemia(home) | 2-0 | Ykkösliiga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | JäPS(away) | 2-1 | Ykkösliiga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | JIPPO(home) | 3-0 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | PK-35(away) | 4-1 | Ykkösliiga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | KäPa(home) | 3-1 | Ykkösliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kooteepee win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Haka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Haka 0-2 Kooteepee | Ykkösliiga |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Kooteepee 0-2 Haka | Ykkösliiga |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Haka 1-2 Kooteepee | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Haka 2-3 Kooteepee | Veikkausliiga |
| May 23, 2025 | Kooteepee 0-0 Haka | Veikkausliiga |
| Jan 22, 2025 | Haka 3-1 Kooteepee | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Kooteepee score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Haka score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kooteepee | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Haka | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kooteepee sit 1st in Ykkösliiga (42 points from 19 matches) and Haka sit 3rd (40 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kooteepee | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 20 | 42 |
| 1 | Kooteepee | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 45 |
| 3 | Haka | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 20 | 40 |
| 3 | Haka | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 20 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kooteepee vs Haka?
- The Footlab model makes Haka the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Kooteepee.
- Where and when is Kooteepee vs Haka played?
- Kooteepee vs Haka is played on August 28, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Arto Tolsa Areena, in the Ykkösliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.