Koper vs Aluminij: prediction and stats
1. SNLRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)ŠRC Bonifika, Koper
The Footlab model makes Koper the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Aluminij. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Koper vs Aluminij?
Koper starts as the favourite with a 197-point Elo edge (1,882 vs 1,685).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Koper have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Aluminij have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mura(away) | 1-0 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bravo(home) | 0-0 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Maribor(away) | 0-2 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje(away) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Jul 30, 2026 | NSI Runavik(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje(home) | 4-2 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Radomlje(away) | 3-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nafta(home) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Olimpija Ljubljana(away) | 0-1 | 1. SNL |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Koper win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Aluminij win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Koper 1-0 Aluminij | 1. SNL |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Aluminij 2-4 Koper | 1. SNL |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Koper 4-1 Aluminij | 1. SNL |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Aluminij 1-0 Koper | 1. SNL |
| Apr 11, 2024 | Koper 2-1 Aluminij | 1. SNL |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Aluminij 1-2 Koper | 1. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Koper score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Aluminij score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koper | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Aluminij | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Koper sit 1st in 1. SNL (3 points from 1 matches) and Aluminij sit 3rd (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Koper | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Koper | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Aluminij | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Koper vs Aluminij?
- The Footlab model makes Koper the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Aluminij.
- Where and when is Koper vs Aluminij played?
- Koper vs Aluminij is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at ŠRC Bonifika, in the 1. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.