Match

Köpetdag Aşgabat vs Merw: prediction and stats

Ýokary LigaMatchday 27Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Köpetdag Stadium, Ashgabat

Köpetdag AşgabatMerw

The Footlab AI model makes Köpetdag Aşgabat the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Merw. The most likely score is 1-1. If Köpetdag Aşgabat wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,612 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Köpetdag Aşgabat vs Merw?

On Elo ratings, Köpetdag Aşgabat has 1,274 points and Merw 1,280.

50%27%23%
Köpetdag Aşgabat winDrawMerw win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Köpetdag Aşgabat vs Merw

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Köpetdag Aşgabat

4-3-3
  1. 19B. Akmamedov
  2. 11S. Hydyrow
  3. 17B. Gulmayev
  1. 14D. Seyitmuhammedov
  2. 4Y. Magsatov
  3. 8B. Berdiyev
  1. 5B. Gurgenov
  2. 21S. Bashimov
  3. 18Y. Saparmämmedov
  4. 2A. Mahmudov
  1. 1D. Berdiyev

Merw

4-4-2
  1. 8Y. Dovletgeldiyev
  2. 90M. Ýakşiýew
  1. 10K. Annamuhammedov
  2. 14D. Durdyyev
  3. 13I. Sekov
  4. 11M. Nazzyyev
  1. 4A. Mahmudov
  2. 2S. Bashimov
  3. 6A. Orazmuhammedov
  4. 9M. Atagarryyev
  1. 30M. Saparov

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 05:21 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Köpetdag Aşgabat have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Merw have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Köpetdag Aşgabat
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Aşgabat(home)1-0Ýokary Liga
Oct 31, 2026Nebitci(away)0-0Ýokary Liga
Oct 24, 2026Şagadam(home)0-0Ýokary Liga
Sep 20, 2026Arkadag(home)0-1Ýokary Liga
Sep 12, 2026Merw(away)0-0Ýokary Liga
Merw
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 11, 2026Ahal(home)0-0Ýokary Liga
Nov 7, 2026Altyn Asyr(home)0-0Ýokary Liga
Oct 31, 2026Aşgabat(away)0-1Ýokary Liga
Oct 17, 2026Nebitci(away)0-3Ýokary Liga
Sep 19, 2026Şagadam(away)2-0Ýokary Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Köpetdag Aşgabat wins, 3 draws, 1 Merw win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 12, 2026Merw 0-0 Köpetdag AşgabatÝokary Liga
Jun 13, 2026Köpetdag Aşgabat 2-0 MerwÝokary Liga
May 2, 2026Merw 2-1 Köpetdag AşgabatÝokary Liga
Oct 26, 2025Merw 2-2 Köpetdag AşgabatÝokary Liga
Sep 22, 2025Köpetdag Aşgabat 0-0 MerwÝokary Liga
May 3, 2025Merw 0-1 Köpetdag AşgabatÝokary Liga

Last archived meeting: Merw vs Köpetdag Aşgabat on Sep 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Köpetdag Aşgabat score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Merw score 0.6 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Köpetdag Aşgabat1.01.265/156/15
Merw0.62.053/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Köpetdag Aşgabat sit 7th in Ýokary Liga (20 points from 26 matches) and Merw sit 8th (19 points from 26 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Köpetdag Aşgabat265516265620
8Merw265417237219

A question about Köpetdag Aşgabat vs Merw?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Köpetdag Aşgabat vs Merw?
The Footlab AI model makes Köpetdag Aşgabat the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Merw.
Where and when is Köpetdag Aşgabat vs Merw played?
Köpetdag Aşgabat vs Merw is played on November 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Köpetdag Stadium, in the Ýokary Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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