Şagadam vs Altyn Asyr: prediction and stats
Ýokary LigaMatchday 27Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Türkmenbaşy Stadium, Türkmenbaşy
The Footlab AI model makes Altyn Asyr the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Şagadam. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,612 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Şagadam vs Altyn Asyr?
Altyn Asyr starts as the favourite with a 297-point Elo edge (1,643 vs 1,346).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Şagadam vs Altyn Asyr
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Şagadam
Not enough data to predict the Şagadam lineup.
Altyn Asyr
4-2-3-1- 77S. Nurmuradov
- 4A. Annamyradov
- 10R. Myratberdiýew
- 7M. Annayev
- 8Ruslan Tajiyev
- 20Sohrat Durdyyev
- 3Ş. Söýünow
- 2Z. Babajanow
- 33H. Hojovov
- 25R. Rovshenmyradov
- 23D. Berdiyev
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 04:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Şagadam have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Altyn Asyr have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Ahal(away) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nebitci(away) | 0-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Merw(home) | 0-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Altyn Asyr(away) | 0-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2026 | Arkadag(away) | 2-5 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Merw(away) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Ahal(home) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Aşgabat(away) | 4-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Ahal(away) | 2-0 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Şagadam win, 1 draw, 4 Altyn Asyr wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Altyn Asyr 2-0 Şagadam | Ýokary Liga |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Şagadam 0-2 Altyn Asyr | Ýokary Liga |
| May 3, 2026 | Altyn Asyr 2-0 Şagadam | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Şagadam 1-2 Altyn Asyr | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Altyn Asyr 0-0 Şagadam | Ýokary Liga |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Şagadam 2-1 Altyn Asyr | Ýokary Liga |
Last archived meeting: Altyn Asyr vs Şagadam on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Şagadam score 0.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Altyn Asyr score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Şagadam | 0.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Altyn Asyr | 2.1 | 1.5 | 8 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Şagadam sit 4th in Ýokary Liga (25 points from 25 matches) and Altyn Asyr sit 2nd (56 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Altyn Asyr | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 57 | 34 | 56 |
| 4 | Şagadam | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 22 | 41 | 25 |
A question about Şagadam vs Altyn Asyr?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Şagadam vs Altyn Asyr?
- The Footlab AI model makes Altyn Asyr the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Şagadam.
- Where and when is Şagadam vs Altyn Asyr played?
- Şagadam vs Altyn Asyr is played on November 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Türkmenbaşy Stadium, in the Ýokary Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.