Kormákur / Hvöt vs Fjolnir: prediction and stats
2. DeildRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sauðárkróksvöllur, Sauðárkrókur
The Footlab model makes Kormákur / Hvöt the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for Fjolnir. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kormákur / Hvöt vs Fjolnir?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Kormákur / Hvöt (1,421) and Fjolnir (1,469).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kormákur / Hvöt have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Fjolnir have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | KFG(away) | 0-4 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Haukar(home) | 1-2 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Magni(away) | 0-3 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Thróttur Vogar(home) | 2-0 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Fjardabyggd / Leiknir(home) | 2-1 | Fotbolti.net Cup A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kári(away) | 0-1 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Fjardabyggd / Leiknir(home) | 1-2 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Selfoss(away) | 2-6 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 8, 2026 | KFG(home) | 4-1 | 2. Deild |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Vikingur Olafsiik(away) | 2-2 | 2. Deild |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Kormákur / Hvöt win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Fjolnir win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Fjolnir 1-1 Kormákur / Hvöt | 2. Deild |
Last archived meeting: Fjolnir vs Kormákur / Hvöt on Jul 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kormákur / Hvöt score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fjolnir score 2.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kormákur / Hvöt | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Fjolnir | 2.1 | 2.3 | 0 | 14/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kormákur / Hvöt sit 8th in 2. Deild (24 points from 19 matches) and Fjolnir sit 6th (25 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Fjolnir | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 43 | 41 | 25 |
| 8 | Kormákur / Hvöt | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kormákur / Hvöt vs Fjolnir?
- The Footlab model makes Kormákur / Hvöt the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for Fjolnir.
- Where and when is Kormákur / Hvöt vs Fjolnir played?
- Kormákur / Hvöt vs Fjolnir is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sauðárkróksvöllur, in the 2. Deild.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.