Selfoss vs KFG: prediction and stats
2. DeildRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)JÁVERK-völlurinn, Selfoss, Árborg
The Footlab model makes Selfoss the favourite at 77%, against 13% for a draw and 10% for KFG. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Selfoss vs KFG?
Selfoss starts as the favourite with a 240-point Elo edge (1,569 vs 1,330).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Selfoss have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; KFG have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Thróttur Vogar(away) | 3-1 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kári(home) | 2-2 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fjolnir(home) | 6-2 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Vikingur Olafsiik(away) | 0-2 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Ýmir(home) | 4-0 | Fotbolti.net Cup A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kormákur / Hvöt(home) | 4-0 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Hvíti riddarinn(away) | 5-0 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fjardabyggd / Leiknir(home) | 3-4 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fjolnir(away) | 1-4 | 2. Deild |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Haukar(away) | 1-2 | 2. Deild |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Selfoss win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 KFG win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2026 | KFG 2-3 Selfoss | 2. Deild |
| Sep 8, 2024 | KFG 1-3 Selfoss | 2. Deild |
| Jul 8, 2024 | Selfoss 2-2 KFG | 2. Deild |
| Aug 21, 2019 | KFG 1-3 Selfoss | 2. Deild |
| Jun 10, 2019 | Selfoss 2-0 KFG | 2. Deild |
How many goals should we expect?
Selfoss score 2.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; KFG score 1.9 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selfoss | 2.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| KFG | 1.9 | 2.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Selfoss sit 2nd in 2. Deild (36 points from 19 matches) and KFG sit 11th (19 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Selfoss | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 45 | 34 | 36 |
| 11 | KFG | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 53 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Selfoss vs KFG?
- The Footlab model makes Selfoss the favourite at 77%, against 13% for a draw and 10% for KFG.
- Where and when is Selfoss vs KFG played?
- Selfoss vs KFG is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at JÁVERK-völlurinn, in the 2. Deild.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.