Thróttur Vogar vs Magni: prediction and stats
2. DeildRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Vogabæjarvöllur, Vogar
The Footlab model makes Thróttur Vogar the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Magni. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thróttur Vogar vs Magni?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Thróttur Vogar (1,413) and Magni (1,426).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thróttur Vogar have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Magni have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Selfoss(home) | 1-3 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Vikingur Olafsiik(away) | 1-2 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dalvík / Reynir(home) | 2-0 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kormákur / Hvöt(away) | 0-2 | 2. Deild |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Hvíti riddarinn(home) | 3-1 | 2. Deild |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vikingur Olafsiik(home) | 3-1 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Dalvík / Reynir(away) | 1-1 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kormákur / Hvöt(home) | 3-0 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hvíti riddarinn(away) | 0-1 | 2. Deild |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Fjardabyggd / Leiknir(home) | 3-0 | 2. Deild |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Thróttur Vogar win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Magni win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Magni 4-3 Thróttur Vogar | 2. Deild |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Thróttur Vogar 2-2 Magni | 2. Deild |
| Jul 4, 2021 | Magni 0-1 Thróttur Vogar | 2. Deild |
Last archived meeting: Magni vs Thróttur Vogar on Jul 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Thróttur Vogar score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Magni score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thróttur Vogar | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Magni | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Thróttur Vogar sit 10th in 2. Deild (19 points from 19 matches) and Magni sit 7th (25 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Magni | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 44 | 25 |
| 10 | Thróttur Vogar | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 30 | 38 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thróttur Vogar vs Magni?
- The Footlab model makes Thróttur Vogar the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Magni.
- Where and when is Thróttur Vogar vs Magni played?
- Thróttur Vogar vs Magni is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Vogabæjarvöllur, in the 2. Deild.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.