Korona Kielce II vs Star Starachowice: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 30Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Korona, Kielce
The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce II the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Star Starachowice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Korona Kielce II vs Star Starachowice?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Korona Kielce II (1,776) and Star Starachowice (1,765).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Korona Kielce II have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Star Starachowice have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(home) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | KSZO 1929(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Naprzód(away) | 4-5 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | KSZO 1929(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Korona Kielce II win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Star Starachowice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Korona Kielce II 3-2 Star Starachowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Korona Kielce II 1-4 Star Starachowice | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Star Starachowice 3-2 Korona Kielce II | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Star Starachowice 1-4 Korona Kielce II | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Korona Kielce II 1-3 Star Starachowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Korona Kielce II vs Star Starachowice on Apr 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Korona Kielce II score 2.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Star Starachowice score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korona Kielce II | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Star Starachowice | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Korona Kielce II sit 17th in III Liga - Group 4 (1 points from 5 matches) and Star Starachowice sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Star Starachowice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| 17 | Korona Kielce II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Korona Kielce II vs Star Starachowice?
- The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce II the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Star Starachowice.
- Where and when is Korona Kielce II vs Star Starachowice played?
- Korona Kielce II vs Star Starachowice is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Korona, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 8, 2027Chełmianka ChełmvsCzarni Połaniec
- May 8, 2027KSZO 1929vsJarosław
- May 8, 2027Hetman ZamoscvsBusko-Zdroj
- May 8, 2027Wiślanie JaśkowicevsPodlasie Biała Podlaska
- May 8, 2027Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówvsSiarka Tarnobrzeg
- May 8, 2027Wisła Kraków IIvsSokół Kolb.
- May 8, 2027NaprzódvsWisłoka Dębica
- May 8, 2027Moravia MorawicavsKS Wieczysta Krakow II