Match

Korona Kielce II vs Star Starachowice: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 30Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Korona, Kielce

Korona Kielce IIStar Starachowice

The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce II the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Star Starachowice. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Korona Kielce II vs Star Starachowice?

A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Korona Kielce II (1,776) and Star Starachowice (1,765).

Korona Kielce II win48 %
Draw23 %
Star Starachowice win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Korona Kielce II have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Star Starachowice have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Korona Kielce II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Czarni Połaniec(home)3-4III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Hetman Zamosc(home)2-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 14, 2026KSZO 1929(away)2-3III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Wisła Kraków II(home)1-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Naprzód(away)4-5III Liga - Group 4
Star Starachowice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Busko-Zdroj(home)1-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Czarni Połaniec(home)2-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Hetman Zamosc(away)0-3III Liga - Group 4
Aug 9, 2026KSZO 1929(home)0-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Wisła Kraków II(away)2-4III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Korona Kielce II win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Star Starachowice win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 2, 2026Korona Kielce II 3-2 Star StarachowiceIII Liga - Group 4
Jan 17, 2026Korona Kielce II 1-4 Star StarachowiceFriendlies Clubs
Sep 13, 2025Star Starachowice 3-2 Korona Kielce IIIII Liga - Group 4
Jun 7, 2025Star Starachowice 1-4 Korona Kielce IIIII Liga - Group 4
Nov 16, 2024Korona Kielce II 1-3 Star StarachowiceIII Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Korona Kielce II vs Star Starachowice on Apr 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Korona Kielce II score 2.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Star Starachowice score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Korona Kielce II2.22.3213/1513/15
Star Starachowice1.31.9211/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Korona Kielce II sit 17th in III Liga - Group 4 (1 points from 5 matches) and Star Starachowice sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Star Starachowice5122585
17Korona Kielce II501412161

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Korona Kielce II vs Star Starachowice?
The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce II the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Star Starachowice.
Where and when is Korona Kielce II vs Star Starachowice played?
Korona Kielce II vs Star Starachowice is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Korona, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Korona Kielce II and Star Starachowice

Ready to know everything about football?