Where and when is Star Starachowice vs Korona Kielce II played?

Star Starachowice vs Korona Kielce II is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Star Starachowice vs Korona Kielce II: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Starachowice

Star Starachowice

Korona Kielce II

The Footlab model makes Star Starachowice the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Korona Kielce II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Star Starachowice vs Korona Kielce II?

A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Star Starachowice (1,762) and Korona Kielce II (1,772).

Star Starachowice win47 %

Draw23 %

Korona Kielce II win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Star Starachowice have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Korona Kielce II have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Star Starachowice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Busko-Zdroj(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Czarni Połaniec(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Hetman Zamosc(away)	0-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 9, 2026	KSZO 1929(home)	0-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026	Wisła Kraków II(away)	2-4	III Liga - Group 4

Korona Kielce II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Czarni Połaniec(home)	3-4	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Hetman Zamosc(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 14, 2026	KSZO 1929(away)	2-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Wisła Kraków II(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026	Naprzód(away)	4-5	III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Star Starachowice win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Korona Kielce II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 2, 2026	Korona Kielce II 3-2 Star Starachowice	III Liga - Group 4
Jan 17, 2026	Korona Kielce II 1-4 Star Starachowice	Friendlies Clubs
Sep 13, 2025	Star Starachowice 3-2 Korona Kielce II	III Liga - Group 4
Jun 7, 2025	Star Starachowice 1-4 Korona Kielce II	III Liga - Group 4
Nov 16, 2024	Korona Kielce II 1-3 Star Starachowice	III Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Korona Kielce II vs Star Starachowice on Apr 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Star Starachowice score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Korona Kielce II score 2.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Star Starachowice	1.3	1.9	2	11/15	10/15
Korona Kielce II	2.2	2.3	2	13/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Star Starachowice sit 15th in III Liga - Group 4 (5 points from 5 matches) and Korona Kielce II sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Star Starachowice	5	1	2	2	5	8	5
17	Korona Kielce II	5	0	1	4	12	16	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Star Starachowice vs Korona Kielce II?: The Footlab model makes Star Starachowice the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Korona Kielce II.
Where and when is Star Starachowice vs Korona Kielce II played?: Star Starachowice vs Korona Kielce II is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.