Where and when is Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg played?

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 30Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Lubaczów

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

The Footlab model makes Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Siarka Tarnobrzeg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?

A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów (1,635) and Siarka Tarnobrzeg (1,718).

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów win43 %

Draw26 %

Siarka Tarnobrzeg win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Siarka Tarnobrzeg have 1, 5 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	KSZO 1929(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Wisła Kraków II(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Naprzód(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Moravia Morawica(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026	Chełmianka Chełm(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 4

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Sokół Kolb.(away)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Jarosław(home)	1-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Busko-Zdroj(away)	4-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Czarni Połaniec(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	Hetman Zamosc(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Siarka Tarnobrzeg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 7, 2026	Siarka Tarnobrzeg 3-1 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 23, 2025	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 2-2 Siarka Tarnobrzeg	III Liga - Group 4
May 3, 2025	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 1-6 Siarka Tarnobrzeg	III Liga - Group 4
Oct 5, 2024	Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1-0 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	III Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Siarka Tarnobrzeg score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1.3	1.5	2	10/15	9/15
Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1.4	2.0	1	11/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów sit 18th in III Liga - Group 4 (1 points from 5 matches) and Siarka Tarnobrzeg sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
16	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	5	1	1	3	6	8	4
18	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	5	0	1	4	2	7	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?: The Footlab model makes Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Siarka Tarnobrzeg.
Where and when is Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg played?: Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.