Kortrijk vs Union St. Gilloise: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Guldensporenstadion, Kortrijk
The Footlab AI model makes Union St. Gilloise the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Kortrijk. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,392 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kortrijk vs Union St. Gilloise?
Union St. Gilloise is a heavy favourite: 2,358 Elo points against 1,935, a 423-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kortrijk vs Union St. Gilloise
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kortrijk
4-3-3- 68T. Ambrose
- 10G. Koyalipou
- 11S. Campbell
- 4Harrison Murray-Campbell
- 70A. Phillips
- 35B. Lambert
- 21A. Drouhin
- 3M. Anderson
- 5J. Ndjeungoue
- 36R. Kohon
- 31M. Ilić
Union St. Gilloise
3-4-2-1- 23B. Zeneli
- 6K. Van de Perre
- 27L. Patris
- 11Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho
- 8A. Zorgane
- 38R. Mofokeng
- 20D. Aquino
- 29M. Sylla
- 55N. Havenaar
- 4N. Chibani
- 12H. Koffi
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 05:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kortrijk have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Union St. Gilloise have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Gent(away) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 4, 2026 | KV Mechelen(home) | 1-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Standard Liege(away) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Genk(away) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Heist(away) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Genk(home) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 5-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Kortrijk wins, 0 draws, 6 Union St. Gilloise wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | Kortrijk 1-2 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Union St. Gilloise 3-0 Kortrijk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Kortrijk 1-3 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Union St. Gilloise 3-0 Kortrijk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Kortrijk 2-4 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Union St. Gilloise 2-1 Kortrijk | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Kortrijk vs Union St. Gilloise on Feb 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kortrijk score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Union St. Gilloise score 2.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Union St. Gilloise | 2.5 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kortrijk sit 18th in Jupiler Pro League (4 points from 11 matches) and Union St. Gilloise sit 1st (29 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union St. Gilloise | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 7 | 29 |
| 18 | Kortrijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 4 |
A question about Kortrijk vs Union St. Gilloise?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kortrijk vs Union St. Gilloise?
- The Footlab AI model makes Union St. Gilloise the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Kortrijk.
- Where and when is Kortrijk vs Union St. Gilloise played?
- Kortrijk vs Union St. Gilloise is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Guldensporenstadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.