Anderlecht vs OH Leuven: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Lotto Park, Bruxelles (Brussel)
The Footlab model makes Anderlecht the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for OH Leuven. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Anderlecht vs OH Leuven?
Anderlecht starts as the favourite with a 193-point Elo edge (2,024 vs 1,831).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Anderlecht have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; OH Leuven have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | PAOK(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(home) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | PAOK(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(home) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Charleroi(away) | 1-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lille(home) | 3-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 4-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Club Brugge II(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Anderlecht win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 OH Leuven win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Anderlecht 5-1 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 26, 2025 | OH Leuven 1-1 Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 1, 2024 | OH Leuven 0-0 Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Anderlecht 1-1 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jan 21, 2024 | OH Leuven 1-1 Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Anderlecht 5-1 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Anderlecht vs OH Leuven on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Anderlecht score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; OH Leuven score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| OH Leuven | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Anderlecht sit 10th in Jupiler Pro League (3 points from 2 matches) and OH Leuven sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Anderlecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 | OH Leuven | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Anderlecht vs OH Leuven?
- The Footlab model makes Anderlecht the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for OH Leuven.
- Where and when is Anderlecht vs OH Leuven played?
- Anderlecht vs OH Leuven is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Lotto Park, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.