KV Mechelen vs Club Brugge KV: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)AFAS Stadion, Malines
The Footlab model makes Club Brugge KV the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for KV Mechelen. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KV Mechelen vs Club Brugge KV?
Club Brugge KV is a heavy favourite: 2,229 Elo points against 1,905, a 324-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KV Mechelen have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Club Brugge KV have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Charleroi(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Standard Liege(home) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gent(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dunkerque(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | OH Leuven(away) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kortrijk(home) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 1-1 | Super Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rennes(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 KV Mechelen win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Club Brugge KV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026 | KV Mechelen 2-2 Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Club Brugge KV 6-1 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Club Brugge KV 4-1 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2025 | KV Mechelen 2-1 Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 7, 2024 | KV Mechelen 1-2 Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 26, 2024 | Club Brugge KV 1-1 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: KV Mechelen vs Club Brugge KV on May 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KV Mechelen score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Club Brugge KV score 2.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Club Brugge KV | 2.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KV Mechelen sit 14th in Jupiler Pro League (1 points from 3 matches) and Club Brugge KV sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | KV Mechelen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KV Mechelen vs Club Brugge KV?
- The Footlab model makes Club Brugge KV the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for KV Mechelen.
- Where and when is KV Mechelen vs Club Brugge KV played?
- KV Mechelen vs Club Brugge KV is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at AFAS Stadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.