Kozuv Gevgelija vs Novaci: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Kožuf, Gevgelija
The Footlab model makes Kozuv Gevgelija the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Novaci. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kozuv Gevgelija vs Novaci?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Kozuv Gevgelija (1,333) and Novaci (1,330).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kozuv Gevgelija have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Novaci have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shkupi 1927(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FK Rabotnicki(away) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Detonit Plachkovica(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Belasica(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Novaci(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Belasica(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ohrid(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pelister(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kozuv Gevgelija(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Ohrid(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kozuv Gevgelija win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Novaci win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kozuv Gevgelija 1-0 Novaci | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Novaci 1-0 Kozuv Gevgelija | Second League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Kozuv Gevgelija 2-0 Novaci | Second League |
| May 18, 2025 | Kozuv Gevgelija 5-1 Novaci | Second League |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Novaci 0-0 Kozuv Gevgelija | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2024 | Kozuv Gevgelija 2-1 Novaci | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Kozuv Gevgelija vs Novaci on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kozuv Gevgelija score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Novaci score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kozuv Gevgelija | 2.1 | 1.1 | 8 | 3/15 | 8/15 |
| Novaci | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kozuv Gevgelija sit 8th in Second League (3 points from 2 matches) and Novaci sit 12th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Kozuv Gevgelija | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Novaci | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kozuv Gevgelija vs Novaci?
- The Footlab model makes Kozuv Gevgelija the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Novaci.
- Where and when is Kozuv Gevgelija vs Novaci played?
- Kozuv Gevgelija vs Novaci is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Kožuf, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.