Pelister vs Ohrid: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Petar Miloševski, Bitola
The Footlab model makes Pelister the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Ohrid. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pelister vs Ohrid?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Pelister (1,547) and Ohrid (1,479).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pelister have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Ohrid have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Akademija Pandev(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kamjani(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Novaci(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 31, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Novaci(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Novaci(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Sloga Vinica(home) | 7-1 | Second League |
| May 16, 2026 | Detonit Plachkovica(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| May 10, 2026 | Golemo Konjari(home) | 3-0 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Pelister win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ohrid win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2025 | Pelister 2-0 Ohrid | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Pelister 1-0 Ohrid | Second League |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Ohrid 1-3 Pelister | Second League |
| Jul 26, 2023 | Ohrid 1-3 Pelister | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Pelister 3-0 Ohrid | Second League |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Ohrid 0-1 Pelister | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Pelister score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ohrid score 2.2 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelister | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Ohrid | 2.2 | 0.6 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pelister sit 9th in Second League (2 points from 2 matches) and Ohrid sit 7th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ohrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Pelister | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pelister vs Ohrid?
- The Footlab model makes Pelister the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Ohrid.
- Where and when is Pelister vs Ohrid played?
- Pelister vs Ohrid is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Petar Miloševski, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.