Kozuv Gevgelija vs Skopje: prediction and stats
CupRound of 32Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Kožuf, Gevgelija
The Footlab model makes Skopje the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Kozuv Gevgelija. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kozuv Gevgelija vs Skopje?
Skopje starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,488 vs 1,333).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kozuv Gevgelija have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Skopje have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shkupi 1927(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FK Rabotnicki(away) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Detonit Plachkovica(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Belasica(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Novaci(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Tikveš(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sileks(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Struga(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Shkendija(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| May 31, 2026 | Akademija Pandev(away) | 1-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kozuv Gevgelija win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Skopje win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Skopje 1-0 Kozuv Gevgelija | Second League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Kozuv Gevgelija 1-1 Skopje | Second League |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Kozuv Gevgelija 0-1 Skopje | Second League |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Skopje 1-1 Kozuv Gevgelija | Second League |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Skopje 0-0 Kozuv Gevgelija | Second League |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Kozuv Gevgelija 4-2 Skopje | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Skopje vs Kozuv Gevgelija on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kozuv Gevgelija score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Skopje score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kozuv Gevgelija | 2.1 | 1.1 | 8 | 3/15 | 8/15 |
| Skopje | 1.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kozuv Gevgelija vs Skopje?
- The Footlab model makes Skopje the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Kozuv Gevgelija.
- Where and when is Kozuv Gevgelija vs Skopje played?
- Kozuv Gevgelija vs Skopje is played on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Kožuf, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.