Pobeda Valandovo vs Struga: prediction and stats
CupRound of 32Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Struga the favourite at 90%, against 7% for a draw and 3% for Pobeda Valandovo. The most likely score is 0-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pobeda Valandovo vs Struga?
Struga is a heavy favourite: 1,699 Elo points against 1,107 — a 593-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pobeda Valandovo have 1 wins, 0 draws and 14 defeats; Struga have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Kamjani(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Osogovo(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Kozuv Gevgelija(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Bregalnica Štip(home) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Detonit Plachkovica(home) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vardar Skopje(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Skopje(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| May 23, 2026 | Aresimi(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| May 15, 2026 | Vardar Skopje(home) | 0-1 | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Pobeda Valandovo score 0.9 and concede 5.3 goals per match over their last 15; Struga score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pobeda Valandovo | 0.9 | 5.3 | 1 | 7/15 | 14/15 |
| Struga | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pobeda Valandovo vs Struga?
- The Footlab model makes Struga the favourite at 90%, against 7% for a draw and 3% for Pobeda Valandovo.
- Where and when is Pobeda Valandovo vs Struga played?
- Pobeda Valandovo vs Struga is played on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.