Ovce Pole vs Vardar Skopje: prediction and stats
CupRound of 32Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Vardar Skopje the favourite at 81%, against 13% for a draw and 6% for Ovce Pole. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ovce Pole vs Vardar Skopje?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Ovce Pole have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Vardar Skopje have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Struga(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Shkendija(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Riga(away) | 2-5 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bregalnica Štip(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Riga(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ovce Pole vs Vardar Skopje?
- The Footlab model makes Vardar Skopje the favourite at 81%, against 13% for a draw and 6% for Ovce Pole.
- Where and when is Ovce Pole vs Vardar Skopje played?
- Ovce Pole vs Vardar Skopje is played on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.