KRC Genk II vs Dender: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Cegeka Arena, Genk
The Footlab AI model makes Dender the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for KRC Genk II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dender wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,591 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KRC Genk II vs Dender?
Dender starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,893 vs 1,760).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for KRC Genk II vs Dender
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
KRC Genk II
4-3-3- 79D. Nzoko
- 66J. Coenen
- 89Kim Myeong-Jun
- 56A. De Wannemacker
- 78K. Achahbar
- 76J. Driessen
- 73E. Mbavu
- 59W. Kapers
- 34A. Palacios
- 55Y. Yoshinaga
- 97E. Doucouré
Dender
5-3-2- 15K. Koton
- 7E. Mballa Amougou
- 18N. Rôdes
- 24M. Viltard
- 53A. Nhaili
- 21K. Cools
- 6B. Kerf
- 45Amine Daali
- 70M. Sambu
- 22I. Breugelmans
- 16J. Devriendt
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 06:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KRC Genk II have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Dender have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Patro Eisden(away) | 0-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Seraing United(home) | 2-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(away) | 0-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(home) | 3-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Lokeren-Temse(away) | 4-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Standard Liege(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Club Brugge II(home) | 3-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hoogstraten(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Patro Eisden(home) | 1-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | KAA Gent II(away) | 1-0 | Challenger Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 KRC Genk II wins, 0 draws, 3 Dender wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024 | KRC Genk II 2-1 Dender | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Dender 1-3 KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League |
| Apr 7, 2023 | KRC Genk II 0-4 Dender | Challenger Pro League |
| Mar 31, 2023 | Dender 1-0 KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League |
| Jan 24, 2023 | Dender 0-1 KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 30, 2022 | KRC Genk II 0-2 Dender | Challenger Pro League |
Last archived meeting: KRC Genk II vs Dender on Feb 11, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
KRC Genk II score 2.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dender score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KRC Genk II | 2.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Dender | 1.5 | 1.2 | 7 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KRC Genk II sit 11th in Challenger Pro League (7 points from 7 matches) and Dender sit 2nd (18 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dender | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | KRC Genk II | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 7 |
A question about KRC Genk II vs Dender?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KRC Genk II vs Dender?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dender the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for KRC Genk II.
- Where and when is KRC Genk II vs Dender played?
- KRC Genk II vs Dender is played on January 16, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Cegeka Arena, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.