Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Solidarnost Samara Arena, Samara
The Footlab model makes Krylia Sovetov the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for FC Orenburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Krylia Sovetov (1,856) and FC Orenburg (1,845).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Krylia Sovetov have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; FC Orenburg have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Akron(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Zenit(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Baltika(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fakel(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rubin(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(away) | 1-5 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Krylia Sovetov win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 FC Orenburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | FC Orenburg 1-0 Krylia Sovetov | Premier League |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov 2-0 FC Orenburg | Cup |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Krylia Sovetov 1-1 FC Orenburg | Premier League |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Krylia Sovetov 2-0 FC Orenburg | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2024 | FC Orenburg 2-2 Krylia Sovetov | Premier League |
| May 4, 2024 | FC Orenburg 2-1 Krylia Sovetov | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: FC Orenburg vs Krylia Sovetov on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Krylia Sovetov score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Orenburg score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krylia Sovetov | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| FC Orenburg | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Krylia Sovetov sit 11th in Premier League (5 points from 5 matches) and FC Orenburg sit 9th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC Orenburg | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 11 | Krylia Sovetov | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg?
- The Footlab model makes Krylia Sovetov the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for FC Orenburg.
- Where and when is Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg played?
- Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Solidarnost Samara Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.