Zenit vs FC Rostov: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gazprom Arena, St. Petersburg
The Footlab model makes Zenit the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for FC Rostov. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zenit vs FC Rostov?
Zenit starts as the favourite with a 268-point Elo edge (2,182 vs 1,914).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zenit have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; FC Rostov have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dynamo(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Baltika(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Akhmat(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rubin(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Akron(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Zenit win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 FC Rostov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | FC Rostov 0-1 Zenit | Premier League |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Zenit 2-1 FC Rostov | Premier League |
| May 18, 2025 | FC Rostov 0-1 Zenit | Premier League |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Zenit 2-0 FC Rostov | Cup |
| Mar 12, 2025 | FC Rostov 0-1 Zenit | Cup |
| Feb 7, 2025 | FC Rostov 1-2 Zenit | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Zenit score 1.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; FC Rostov score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit | 1.9 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| FC Rostov | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zenit sit 4th in Premier League (9 points from 5 matches) and FC Rostov sit 12th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Zenit | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 9 |
| 12 | FC Rostov | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zenit vs FC Rostov?
- The Footlab model makes Zenit the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for FC Rostov.
- Where and when is Zenit vs FC Rostov played?
- Zenit vs FC Rostov is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Gazprom Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.