Lokomotiv vs Rubin: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)RZD Arena, Moskva
The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Rubin. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lokomotiv wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotiv vs Rubin?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Lokomotiv (1,980) and Rubin (1,911).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lokomotiv vs Rubin
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lokomotiv
4-2-3-1- 27N. Komlichenko
- 18N. Titkov
- 7Z. Bakaev
- 19A. Rudenko
- 6S. Babkin
- 75I. Eremeev
- 23C. Montes
- 24M. Nenakhov
- 45A. Siljanov
- 3Lucas Fasson
- 1A. Mitryushkin
Rubin
5-4-1- 43J. Siwe
- 22V. Hodža
- 11N. Gripshi
- 14I. Saavedra
- 71I. Samoshnikov
- 13J. Urozov
- 51I. Rozhkov
- 12A. Arroyo
- 5I. Vujačić
- 98N. Lobov
- 38E. Staver
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Rubin have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Akron(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fakel(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Zenit(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Dynamo(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Akhmat(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lokomotiv wins, 0 draws, 4 Rubin wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lokomotiv 1-3 Rubin | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Rubin 3-0 Lokomotiv | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Lokomotiv 1-0 Rubin | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Rubin 1-0 Lokomotiv | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Lokomotiv 1-0 Rubin | Premier League |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Lokomotiv 3-4 Rubin | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotiv score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Rubin score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Rubin | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0 | 13/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotiv sit 13th in Premier League (10 points from 10 matches) and Rubin sit 6th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rubin | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 10 |
A question about Lokomotiv vs Rubin?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv vs Rubin?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Rubin.
- Where and when is Lokomotiv vs Rubin played?
- Lokomotiv vs Rubin is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at RZD Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.