FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Krasnodar, Krasnodar
The Footlab AI model makes FC Krasnodar the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for CSKA Moscow. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Krasnodar wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,019 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow?
On Elo ratings, FC Krasnodar has 2,071 points and CSKA Moscow 1,997.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Krasnodar
4-2-3-1- 9J. Córdoba
- 11Batxi
- 53A. Chernikov
- 47D. Utkin
- 18Christian
- 6Kevin Pina
- 5Jubal
- 15L. Olaza
- 40I. Vakhania
- 3Vítor Tormena
- 1S. Agkatsev
CSKA Moscow
5-3-2- 32L. Gondou
- 17K. Glebov
- 10I. Oblyakov
- 31M. Kislyak
- 19I. Oleynikov
- 4João Victor
- 21M. Azzi
- 23Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov
- 3D. Krugovoy
- 79M. Zea
- 49V. Torop
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 07:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Krasnodar have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; CSKA Moscow have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lokomotiv(away) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Fakel(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Zenit(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | FC Orenburg(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Akron(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Dynamo(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | FC Rostov(home) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Krasnodar wins, 2 draws, 2 CSKA Moscow wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | FC Krasnodar 4-0 CSKA Moscow | Cup |
| Mar 4, 2026 | CSKA Moscow 3-1 FC Krasnodar | Cup |
| Feb 3, 2026 | CSKA Moscow 2-2 FC Krasnodar | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 7, 2025 | FC Krasnodar 3-2 CSKA Moscow | Premier League |
| Aug 31, 2025 | CSKA Moscow 1-1 FC Krasnodar | Premier League |
| Jul 12, 2025 | FC Krasnodar 0-1 CSKA Moscow | Super Cup |
Last archived meeting: FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow on Mar 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Krasnodar score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Moscow score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Krasnodar | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| CSKA Moscow | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Krasnodar sit 5th in Premier League (22 points from 11 matches) and CSKA Moscow sit 4th (22 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 22 |
| 5 | FC Krasnodar | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 22 |
A question about FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Krasnodar the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for CSKA Moscow.
- Where and when is FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow played?
- FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Krasnodar, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.