FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Krasnodar, Krasnodar
The Footlab model makes FC Krasnodar the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for CSKA Moscow. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow?
FC Krasnodar starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (2,154 vs 2,013).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Krasnodar have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; CSKA Moscow have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Dynamo(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Akhmat(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Akhmat(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Akron(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fakel(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Rostov(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Lokomotiv(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Krasnodar win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 CSKA Moscow win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | FC Krasnodar 4-0 CSKA Moscow | Cup |
| Mar 4, 2026 | CSKA Moscow 3-1 FC Krasnodar | Cup |
| Feb 3, 2026 | CSKA Moscow 2-2 FC Krasnodar | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 7, 2025 | FC Krasnodar 3-2 CSKA Moscow | Premier League |
| Aug 31, 2025 | CSKA Moscow 1-1 FC Krasnodar | Premier League |
| Jul 12, 2025 | FC Krasnodar 0-1 CSKA Moscow | Super Cup |
Last archived meeting: FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow on Mar 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Krasnodar score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Moscow score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Krasnodar | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| CSKA Moscow | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Krasnodar sit 1st in Premier League (15 points from 5 matches) and CSKA Moscow sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Krasnodar | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow?
- The Footlab model makes FC Krasnodar the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for CSKA Moscow.
- Where and when is FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow played?
- FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Krasnodar, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.