KSZO 1929 vs Moravia Morawica: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Miejski Stadion Sportowy, Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
The Footlab model makes KSZO 1929 the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Moravia Morawica. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KSZO 1929 vs Moravia Morawica?
KSZO 1929 starts as the favourite with a 186-point Elo edge (1,898 vs 1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KSZO 1929 have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Moravia Morawica have 2, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Star Starachowice(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Naprzód(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(home) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
KSZO 1929 score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Moravia Morawica score 1.1 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KSZO 1929 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Moravia Morawica | 1.1 | 2.7 | 1 | 3/9 | 6/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KSZO 1929 sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 4 (11 points from 5 matches) and Moravia Morawica sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | KSZO 1929 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 11 | Moravia Morawica | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KSZO 1929 vs Moravia Morawica?
- The Footlab model makes KSZO 1929 the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Moravia Morawica.
- Where and when is KSZO 1929 vs Moravia Morawica played?
- KSZO 1929 vs Moravia Morawica is played on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Miejski Stadion Sportowy, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Hetman ZamoscvsPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
- Mar 20, 2027Wisłoka DębicavsSiarka Tarnobrzeg
- Mar 20, 2027Czarni PołaniecvsWiślanie Jaśkowice
- Mar 20, 2027JarosławvsStar Starachowice
- Mar 20, 2027Wisła Kraków IIvsNaprzód
- Mar 20, 2027Sokół Kolb.vsPodlasie Biała Podlaska
- Mar 20, 2027KS Wieczysta Krakow IIvsChełmianka Chełm
- Mar 20, 2027Busko-ZdrojvsKorona Kielce II