Chełmianka Chełm vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Chełm
The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for KS Wieczysta Krakow II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chełmianka Chełm vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II?
Chełmianka Chełm starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (1,929 vs 1,731).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chełmianka Chełm have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; KS Wieczysta Krakow II have 2, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Naprzód(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(away) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(away) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Jarosław(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(home) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Chełmianka Chełm score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; KS Wieczysta Krakow II score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chełmianka Chełm | 2.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1 | 4/6 | 4/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chełmianka Chełm sit 1st in III Liga - Group 4 (15 points from 5 matches) and KS Wieczysta Krakow II sit 7th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chełmianka Chełm | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chełmianka Chełm vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II?
- The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for KS Wieczysta Krakow II.
- Where and when is Chełmianka Chełm vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II played?
- Chełmianka Chełm vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Wiślanie JaśkowicevsCzarni Połaniec
- Aug 28, 2026Podlasie Biała PodlaskavsSokół Kolb.
- Aug 29, 2026Korona Kielce IIvsBusko-Zdroj
- Aug 29, 2026Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówvsHetman Zamosc
- Aug 29, 2026Siarka TarnobrzegvsWisłoka Dębica
- Aug 29, 2026JarosławvsStar Starachowice
- Aug 30, 2026NaprzódvsWisła Kraków II
- Aug 30, 2026Moravia MorawicavsKSZO 1929