Match

Hetman Zamosc vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR w Zamościu, Zamość

Hetman ZamoscPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów

The Footlab model makes Hetman Zamosc the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hetman Zamosc vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów?

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,630 vs 1,523).

Hetman Zamosc win40 %
Draw27 %
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hetman Zamosc have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hetman Zamosc
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home)0-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Korona Kielce II(away)2-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Star Starachowice(home)3-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 7, 2026Podlasie Biała Podlaska(away)1-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home)1-1III Liga - Group 4
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026KSZO 1929(away)0-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Wisła Kraków II(home)1-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Naprzód(away)1-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Moravia Morawica(home)0-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Chełmianka Chełm(home)0-1III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Hetman Zamosc win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 25, 2026Hetman Zamosc 2-2 Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Hetman Zamosc vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów on Jul 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hetman Zamosc score 1.3 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hetman Zamosc1.32.4210/1511/15
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów1.31.5210/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hetman Zamosc sit 10th in III Liga - Group 4 (6 points from 5 matches) and Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów sit 18th (1 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Hetman Zamosc5131756
18Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów5014271

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hetman Zamosc vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów?
The Footlab model makes Hetman Zamosc the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów.
Where and when is Hetman Zamosc vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów played?
Hetman Zamosc vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów is played on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR w Zamościu, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hetman Zamosc and Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów

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