Hetman Zamosc vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR w Zamościu, Zamość
The Footlab model makes Hetman Zamosc the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hetman Zamosc vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów?
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,630 vs 1,523).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hetman Zamosc have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Star Starachowice(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | KSZO 1929(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Naprzód(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Hetman Zamosc win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc 2-2 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Hetman Zamosc vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hetman Zamosc score 1.3 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hetman Zamosc | 1.3 | 2.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hetman Zamosc sit 10th in III Liga - Group 4 (6 points from 5 matches) and Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów sit 18th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hetman Zamosc | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 18 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hetman Zamosc vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów?
- The Footlab model makes Hetman Zamosc the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów.
- Where and when is Hetman Zamosc vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów played?
- Hetman Zamosc vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów is played on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR w Zamościu, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027KSZO 1929vsMoravia Morawica
- Mar 20, 2027Wisłoka DębicavsSiarka Tarnobrzeg
- Mar 20, 2027Czarni PołaniecvsWiślanie Jaśkowice
- Mar 20, 2027JarosławvsStar Starachowice
- Mar 20, 2027Wisła Kraków IIvsNaprzód
- Mar 20, 2027Sokół Kolb.vsPodlasie Biała Podlaska
- Mar 20, 2027KS Wieczysta Krakow IIvsChełmianka Chełm
- Mar 20, 2027Busko-ZdrojvsKorona Kielce II