Kulykiv vs Yarud Mariupol': prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Arena Kulykiv, Kulykiv
The Footlab AI model makes Yarud Mariupol' the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Kulykiv. The most likely score is 1-1. If Yarud Mariupol' wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,533 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kulykiv vs Yarud Mariupol'?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Kulykiv (1,786) and Yarud Mariupol' (1,764).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kulykiv vs Yarud Mariupol'
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kulykiv
4-3-3- 11A. Bey
- 26D. Galadey
- 9R. Lisovyk
- 22S. Kopyl
- 17V. Semotyuk
- 10O. Panasyuk
- 45M. Sasovskyi
- 33O. Nychyporenko
- 7V. Patulyak
- 2I. Gavrushko
- 1R. Dankovych
Yarud Mariupol'
4-3-3- 29A. Remenyak
- 6E. Gunichev
- 9S. Kyslenko
- 10P. Orikhovskyi
- 8A. Kukharuk
- 5O. Khakhlyov
- 15O. Chornomorets
- 33V. Sydorenko
- 20O. Nikolyshyn
- 2R. Gagun
- 1V. Zhupanskyi
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 03:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kulykiv have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Yarud Mariupol' have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | UCSA(home) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil(away) | 1-3 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Oleksandria(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Polissya II(away) | 4-2 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(home) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Chernihiv(home) | 3-1 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv(away) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Inhulets(home) | 4-1 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | UCSA(away) | 2-1 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil(home) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Kulykiv wins, 1 draw, 0 Yarud Mariupol' wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol' 1-1 Kulykiv | Persha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Yarud Mariupol' vs Kulykiv on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kulykiv score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Yarud Mariupol' score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kulykiv | 1.9 | 1.2 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Yarud Mariupol' | 1.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kulykiv sit 5th in Persha Liga (24 points from 14 matches) and Yarud Mariupol' sit 2nd (27 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Yarud Mariupol' | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 27 |
| 5 | Kulykiv | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 24 |
A question about Kulykiv vs Yarud Mariupol'?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kulykiv vs Yarud Mariupol'?
- The Footlab AI model makes Yarud Mariupol' the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Kulykiv.
- Where and when is Kulykiv vs Yarud Mariupol' played?
- Kulykiv vs Yarud Mariupol' is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Kulykiv, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.