UCSA vs Metal Kharkiv: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova, Kyiv
The Footlab AI model makes Metal Kharkiv the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for UCSA. The most likely score is 1-1. If Metal Kharkiv wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UCSA vs Metal Kharkiv?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate UCSA (1,638) and Metal Kharkiv (1,708).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for UCSA vs Metal Kharkiv
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
UCSA
4-3-3- 9O. Khoblenko
- 22Yegor Rogach
- 71Ruan Santos
- 6R. Yuvkhimets
- 49Vitinho
- 73P. Castro
- 15O. Osman
- 35Hiago
- 45D. Sabiyev
- 42D. Makhnev
- 12A. Kovalev
Metal Kharkiv
4-3-3- 19D. Kaydalov
- 6D. Tepliakov
- 8K. Digtyar
- 10M. Bagachanskyi
- 11O. Tsvirenko
- 29Yegor Abramov
- 14K. Vlaga
- 20D. Vernattus
- 17D. Prykhodko
- 31B. Porokh
- 35P. Pletnyov
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UCSA have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Metal Kharkiv have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(home) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(away) | 2-3 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(home) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Prykarpattia(away) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Chernihiv(home) | 3-2 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(home) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Prykarpattia(away) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Chernihiv(home) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | SK Poltava(away) | 0-3 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Inhulets(away) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 UCSA wins, 1 draw, 2 Metal Kharkiv wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv 3-1 UCSA | Persha Liga |
| May 23, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv 2-0 UCSA | Persha Liga |
| Nov 1, 2025 | UCSA 2-1 Metal Kharkiv | Persha Liga |
| May 18, 2025 | UCSA 3-3 Metal Kharkiv | Persha Liga |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Metal Kharkiv 0-2 UCSA | Persha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
UCSA score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Metal Kharkiv score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCSA | 1.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Metal Kharkiv | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UCSA sit 14th in Persha Liga (10 points from 11 matches) and Metal Kharkiv sit 9th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Metal Kharkiv | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 15 |
| 14 | UCSA | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 10 |
A question about UCSA vs Metal Kharkiv?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UCSA vs Metal Kharkiv?
- The Footlab AI model makes Metal Kharkiv the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for UCSA.
- Where and when is UCSA vs Metal Kharkiv played?
- UCSA vs Metal Kharkiv is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.