Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Kolos Kovalivka II: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova, Kyiv
The Footlab model makes Lokomotiv Kyiv the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Kolos Kovalivka II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Kolos Kovalivka II?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Lokomotiv Kyiv (1,649) and Kolos Kovalivka II (1,658).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv Kyiv have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Kolos Kovalivka II have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(away) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(home) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Prykarpattia(away) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chernihiv(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(away) | 1-3 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(home) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(away) | 0-2 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Prykarpattia(home) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Lokomotiv Kyiv win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Kolos Kovalivka II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka II 1-1 Lokomotiv Kyiv | Druha Liga |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv 0-2 Kolos Kovalivka II | Druha Liga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Kolos Kovalivka II 1-1 Lokomotiv Kyiv | Druha Liga |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Kolos Kovalivka II 3-1 Lokomotiv Kyiv | Druha Liga |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Lokomotiv Kyiv 1-3 Kolos Kovalivka II | Druha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Kolos Kovalivka II vs Lokomotiv Kyiv on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotiv Kyiv score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kolos Kovalivka II score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Kyiv | 1.8 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Kolos Kovalivka II | 1.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotiv Kyiv sit 12th in Persha Liga (3 points from 4 matches) and Kolos Kovalivka II sit 14th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Kolos Kovalivka II?
- The Footlab model makes Lokomotiv Kyiv the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Kolos Kovalivka II.
- Where and when is Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Kolos Kovalivka II played?
- Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Kolos Kovalivka II is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.