Kumla vs Motala: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Norra GötalandNorra Götaland - 21Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Kumla IP, Kumla
The Footlab model makes Motala the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Kumla. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kumla vs Motala?
Motala starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,476 vs 1,375).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kumla have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Motala have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Husqvarna(home) | 2-6 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stenungsund(away) | 0-5 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vänersborgs IF(home) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Tord(away) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Grebbestad(away) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | IF Karlstad II(home) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tord(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Husqvarna(home) | 0-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Vänersborgs IF(away) | 3-3 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Vänersborgs FK(home) | 0-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kumla win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Motala win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2026 | Motala 0-0 Kumla | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Kumla 1-3 Motala | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jun 12, 2025 | Motala 1-2 Kumla | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Kumla 1-3 Motala | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jun 6, 2024 | Motala 5-5 Kumla | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 5, 2017 | Kumla 0-1 Motala | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
How many goals should we expect?
Kumla score 0.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Motala score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kumla | 0.8 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Motala | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kumla sit 7th in Division 2 - Norra Götaland (17 points from 13 matches) and Motala sit 9th (15 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kumla | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 17 |
| 8 | Motala | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 21 |
| 9 | Motala | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
| 9 | Kumla | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kumla vs Motala?
- The Footlab model makes Motala the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Kumla.
- Where and when is Kumla vs Motala played?
- Kumla vs Motala is played on September 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Kumla IP, in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.