Kuressaare vs Pärnu: result 5-4 and analysis
Esiliiga ARegular SeasonKick-off on April 18, 2014 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Kuressaare linnastaadion, Kuressaare
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What was the result of Kuressaare vs Pärnu?
Kuressaare won 5-4 on April 18, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 17′Henri HansonPärnu
- 30′Reio AltKuressaare
- 45′Martti PukkKuressaare
- 51′Martti PukkKuressaare
- 73′Sander SeemanKuressaare
- 78′S. LahtKuressaare
- 80′Tõnis VihmojaPärnu
- 83′Kristen SaartsPärnu (pen.)
- 90′Kristen SaartsPärnu
Official lineup for Kuressaare vs Pärnu
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Kuressaare
- MMartti Pukk
- SS. Laht
- TTõnis Koppel
- AA. Luup
- SSander Seeman
- SS. Viira
- JJaanis Kriska
- UUrmas Rajaver
- MM. Pajunurm
- RReio Alt
- RRait Hansen
Pärnu
- KKristen Saarts
- AA. Issakov
- TTõnis Vihmoja
- TToomas Pent
- RR. Pärnat
- HHenri Hanson
- TT. Kitsel
- AAndro Aavik
- JJoosep Sarapuu
- RR. Peetson
- JJoel Vabrit
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kuressaare have 2 wins, 1 draw and 12 defeats; Pärnu have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2014 | Kiviõli Irbis(home) | 2-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 6, 2014 | Flora II(away) | 1-7 | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 23, 2014 | Nõmme Kalju II(away) | 0-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 16, 2014 | FCI Levadia II(away) | 0-4 | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 7, 2014 | Puuma(away) | 3-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2014 | Flora II(home) | 3-5 | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 30, 2014 | Nõmme Kalju II(home) | 1-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 23, 2014 | FCI Levadia II(away) | 2-6 | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 16, 2014 | Puuma(home) | 7-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 9, 2014 | Rakvere Tarvas(away) | 7-3 | Esiliiga A |
How many goals should we expect?
Kuressaare score 0.9 and concede 3.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pärnu score 2.3 and concede 3.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kuressaare | 0.9 | 3.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Pärnu | 2.3 | 3.0 | 1 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy