Kuressaare vs Pärnu: result 5-4 and analysis
Esiliiga ARegular SeasonKick-off on April 18, 2014 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Kuressaare linnastaadion, Kuressaare
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What was the result of Kuressaare vs Pärnu?
Kuressaare won 5-4 on April 18, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 17′Henri HansonPärnu
- 30′Reio AltKuressaare
- 45′Martti PukkKuressaare
- 51′Martti PukkKuressaare
- 73′Sander SeemanKuressaare
- 78′S. LahtKuressaare
- 80′Tõnis VihmojaPärnu
- 83′Kristen SaartsPärnu (pen.)
- 90′Kristen SaartsPärnu
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kuressaare have 2 wins, 1 draws and 12 defeats; Pärnu have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2014 | Kiviõli Irbis(home) | 2-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 6, 2014 | Flora II(away) | 1-7 | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 23, 2014 | Nõmme Kalju II(away) | 0-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 16, 2014 | FCI Levadia II(away) | 0-4 | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 7, 2014 | Puuma(away) | 3-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2014 | Flora II(home) | 3-5 | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 30, 2014 | Nõmme Kalju II(home) | 1-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 23, 2014 | FCI Levadia II(away) | 2-6 | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 16, 2014 | Puuma(home) | 7-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 9, 2014 | Rakvere Tarvas(away) | 7-3 | Esiliiga A |
How many goals should we expect?
Kuressaare score 0.9 and concede 3.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pärnu score 2.3 and concede 3.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kuressaare | 0.9 | 3.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Pärnu | 2.3 | 3.0 | 1 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy